Qwen3 Coder 480B Turbo (Venice) (thinking on) on Retirement drawdown with a 4% rule, inflation raises and a skip-raise-after-loss guardrail
QQwen3 Coder 480B Turbo (Venice)thinking on · venice-mini-agent v1.3.1 · cloud · 2026-10-24 · by @bobsiopener
- Estimated cost
- $0.0091
- Wall time
- 5m
- Human step-ins
- 0
- Outcome
- Pass
Compare with other models on this task →
Summary
Exact prompt
# Retirement drawdown: the 4% rule with inflation raises and a guardrail `input.json` describes one retiree and one assumed sequence of yearly market returns and inflation rates (synthetic data). Write `solve.py` (Python 3 standard library only) so that `python solve.py input.json answer.json` reads the input and writes the answer. We re-run it on fresh inputs of the same shape, so do not hard-code anything. ## Input `start_age`, `end_age` (integers), `start_balance`, `withdrawal_rate` (e.g. 0.04), `fee_rate` (yearly fraction), `returns` and `inflation` (lists of fractions, one per year, length `end_age - start_age`). ## Rules 1. There are n = `end_age - start_age` years, k = 0 .. n-1. Year k is the year the retiree is age `start_age + k`. 2. The planned withdrawal for year 0 is W0 = `start_balance * withdrawal_rate`. For k >= 1 the planned withdrawal is last year's planned withdrawal times `(1 + inflation[k-1])`. 3. **Guardrail scenario only:** for k >= 1, if `returns[k-1] < 0` (strictly) the raise is skipped that year: the planned withdrawal stays equal to last year's planned withdrawal. Later raises apply to the frozen amount; there is no catch-up. 4. Each year, the withdrawal is taken at the start of the year: actual withdrawal w = min(planned, balance). Then balance = (balance - w) * (1 + returns[k]) * (1 - fee_rate). 5. `depletion_age` = `start_age + k` for the first year k where w < planned (the full planned amount could not be paid), otherwise `null`. `shortfall_total` = sum over all years of (planned - w). `total_withdrawn` = sum of w. 6. `path` = the balance at the end of each year (after rule 4), n values. `final_balance` = the last one. `real_final_balance` = `final_balance` divided by the product of `(1 + inflation[k])` over all n years. 7. Keep full floating-point precision while computing; round money outputs to 2 decimals only when writing. ## Output `answer.json`: `{"standard": S, "guardrail": G}` where each of S and G is an object with keys `final_balance`, `real_final_balance`, `total_withdrawn`, `shortfall_total`, `depletion_age`, `path`. "standard" ignores rule 3; "guardrail" applies it. ## Chart (required visual) Also write `chart.svg` in the working directory: a static, self-contained SVG (root element `<svg>`, no scripts, no external images, fonts, stylesheets or links) that can be rendered headless. It must contain `<polyline id="standard">` and `<polyline id="guardrail">` drawing the two `path` balance series against year. ## Scoring The `chart_svg_static` check (one more check, counted in partial credit) passes only if `chart.svg` exists after the fixture run, parses, has root `<svg>`, contains the ids above with the stated tags, and has no `<script>`, `<img>`/`<image>`, `<link>`, `<iframe>`/`<object>`/`<embed>`, `on*` handlers, or `href`/`src` pointing anywhere except `#...` or `data:`. Its drawing is not graded. Hidden checks (partial credit = fraction passed; all must pass). Money values must match the reference within 0.011; `depletion_age` exactly; `path` must have exactly n values. - `standard_path`, `standard_summary` (the five summary keys), `guardrail_scenario`: on the given `input.json`. - `fresh_standard`, `fresh_guardrail`: on a fresh input. - `depletion_and_shortfall`: both scenarios on a fresh input where the money runs out. Each run has a 60-second limit.
Exact year-by-year balances depend on withdrawal timing, fee application order, the strict-negative guardrail with no catch-up, and how depletion and shortfall are recorded; fresh inputs include one where money runs out. Original benchmark task written for usecaserank.com (not based on a specific public post). Headless, offline run on a reproducible fixture. Cost shown is a list-price estimate (measured tokens x pricing.json list price). Rescore note (Oct 23, 2026): re-scored from the saved work dir: the original scoring step failed to start (exit 127, scorer interpreter missing), so the first score was not a real result. Model output and measured data unchanged.
These are synthetic test cases for comparing AI models, not financial advice.
Success criteria: 1. standard_path 2. standard_summary 3. guardrail_scenario 4. fresh_standard 5. fresh_guardrail 6. depletion_and_shortfall 7. chart_svg_static
Setup notes: Use Case Scout batch 9 case j01-retirement-drawdown (offline fixture). Prepared with batch9/prepare.sh; hidden key/tests kept outside the agent's work dir. Prompt = TASK.md verbatim. Scored with the scout's scorer: `python score.py WORKDIR KEYDIR`. Tools: list_files/read_file/write_file/run_shell (venice-mini-agent v1.3), web disabled. Single run, no retries. Visual output (chart.svg) rendered offline to PNG with google-chrome headless, network blocked, 1280x800 at ~3 s after load. Harness: venice-mini-agent v1.3.1 (/workspace/usecase-runner/venice_agent2.py) via the Venice OpenAI-compatible API: same tool loop, system prompt and limits as the cases 02-25 Venice runs (max 25 turns, max_tokens 16000/call, temperature 0.2, Venice system prompt and web search off, per-run cost cap $0.0263, thinking on (model default)). Same task text, work-dir layout and scorer as the Claude runs of this case. Cost = measured per-call tokens x venice_prices.json list price; paid from the Venice DIEM daily allowance. Harness: venice-mini-agent v1.3.1 via Venice OpenAI-compatible API (16000 max tokens/call, $0.0263 run cap). Score: 7/7. Cost is an ESTIMATE: measured per-call tokens x pricing.json list price (paid from Venice DIEM allowance; Venice billing not itemized). input_tokens include cached reads. Single run.
Estimated cost List-price estimate; not actually billed.
Output
Metrics
- Estimated cost
- $0.0091
- Wall time
- 5m
- Human step-ins
- 0
- Turns
- 12
| Model | Input tok | Output tok | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQwen3 Coder 480B Turbo (Venice)venice/qwen3-coder-480b-a35b-instruct-turbothinking on | 57,664 | 2,060 | $0.0091 |
Reproduce this run
- Use the use case prompt on the use case page.
- Same setup: Qwen3 Coder 480B Turbo (Venice) (venice/qwen3-coder-480b-a35b-instruct-turbo, thinking on) via
venice-mini-agent v1.3.1, cloud. - It counts as a success only if it meets every success criterion: 1. standard_path 2. standard_summary 3. guardrail_scenario 4. fresh_standard 5. fresh_guardrail 6. depletion_and_shortfall 7. chart_svg_static
- Log model, tokens, wall time, human step-ins and the evidence log, then submit it as a reproduction. A different model? Submit a head-to-head rerun.
How runs are scored: Methodology.
Was this useful?
Automated checks
Trust 80% comes from these checks (how Trust % works).
- Run date is not in the future : passed
- Model is in the dated pricing table : passed
- Cost recomputed from tokens matches : passed
- Cached tokens are consistent : passed
- Output throughput is plausible : passed
- Autonomy matches step-ins : passed
- Step-ins do not exceed turns : passed
- Retries agree with first-try result : passed
- Evidence log SHA-256 matches : passed
- Evidence log is substantial : passed
Evidence log
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"final_message": "Excellent! The solution is working correctly for both the original and test inputs. Let's summarize what we've implemented:\n\n## Summary\n\nI've created a complete solution for the retirement drawdown calculation that includes:\n\n1. **Main Script (`solve.py`)**: A Python script that:\n - Reads input parameters from a JSON file\n - Calculates retirement drawdown for both standard and guardrail scenarios\n - Writes detailed results to an output JSON file\n - Generates a visualization chart as an SVG file\n\n2. **Calculation Logic**:\n - Implements the 4% rule with inflation adjustments\n - Handles the guardrail scenario where inflation raises are skipped during negative market years\n - Tracks withdrawals, balances, and shortfall conditions\n - Calculates real final balance adjusted for inflation\n - Determines depletion age when applicable\n\n3. **Output Files**:\n - `answer.json`: Contains detailed results for both scenarios with final balances, real balances, total withdrawals, shortfalls, depletion ages, and year-by-year balance paths\n - `chart.svg`: A self-contained SVG visualization showing both balance paths as polylines\n\n4. **Validation**: \n - Tested successfully with the provided input\n - Verified with additional test cases\n - Confirmed the chart meets all requirements (no scripts, external resources, etc.)\n\nThe solution handles all edge cases properly, maintains full floating-point precision during calculations, and rounds monetary values only when producing final outputs. It's designed to work with any input of the same structure without hard-coding specific values.",
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"result": "{\n \"start_age\": 65,\n \"end_age\": 91,\n \"start_balance\": 1275000,\n \"withdrawal_rate\": 0.0393,\n \"fee_rate\": 0.0014,\n \"returns\": [\n 0.0744,\n -0.0838,\n -0.2331,\n 0.0428,\n 0.0457,\n 0.0935,\n 0.0244,\n 0.0895,\n 0.2534,\n 0.1454,\n -0.0412,\n 0.3123,\n -0.0709,\n 0.0895,\n 0.2531,\n 0.1087,\n -0.1148,\n 0.114,\n 0.1936,\n 0.1639,\n -0.0092,\n 0.1757,\n -0.1251,\n 0.1493,\n 0.1664,\n -0.0368\n ],\n \"inflation\": [\n 0.0371,\n 0.0125,\n 0.0295,\n 0.02,\n 0.0339,\n 0.0199,\n 0.0296,\n 0.0294,\n 0.029,\n 0.0277,\n 0.0272,\n 0.0137,\n 0.0291,\n 0.0122,\n 0.0283,\n 0.0177,\n 0.0227,\n 0.0165,\n 0.0288,\n 0.0321,\n 0.0361,\n 0.0251,\n 0.0396,\n 0.0268,\n 0.0315,\n 0.0183\n ]\n}"
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"content": "Now I'll create the Python script to solve this problem:\n\n",
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"arguments": "{\"path\": \"solve.py\", \"content\": \"import sys\\nimport json\\nimport math\\n\\ndef calculate_scenario(input_data, apply_guardrail=False):\\n start_age = input_data[\\\"start_age\\\"]\\n end_age = input_data[\\\"end_age\\\"]\\n start_balance = input_data[\\\"start_balance\\\"]\\n withdrawal_rate = input_data[\\\"withdrawal_rate\\\"]\\n fee_rate = input_data[\\\"fee_rate\\\"]\\n returns = input_data[\\\"returns\\\"]\\n inflation = input_data[\\\"inflation\\\"]\\n \\n n_years = end_age - start_age\\n \\n # Initialize variables\\n balance = start_balance\\n planned_withdrawal = start_balance * withdrawal_rate\\n path = []\\n total_withdrawn = 0.0\\n shortfall_total = 0.0\\n depletion_age = None\\n \\n for year in range(n_years):\\n # Calculate actual withdrawal (min of planned and balance)\\n withdrawal = min(planned_withdrawal, balance)\\n \\n # Check if this is the first year with shortfall\\n if withdrawal < planned_withdrawal and depletion_age is None:\\n depletion_age = start_age + year\\n \\n # Update totals\\n total_withdrawn += withdrawal\\n shortfall_total += planned_withdrawal - withdrawal\\n \\n # Apply withdrawal\\n balance -= withdrawal\\n \\n # Apply market return and fees\\n balance *= (1 + returns[year]) * (1 - fee_rate)\\n \\n # Store end-of-year balance\\n path.append(balance)\\n \\n # Calculate next year's planned withdrawal\\n if year < n_years - 1:\\n if apply_guardrail and returns[year] < 0:\\n # Skip inflation adjustment for this year due to negative returns\\n pass\\n else:\\n # Apply inflation adjustment\\n planned_withdrawal *= (1 + inflation[year])\\n \\n # Calculate real final balance\\n inflation_product = 1.0\\n for inf_rate in inflation:\\n inflation_product *= (1 + inf_rate)\\n \\n real_final_balance = balance / inflation_product if inflation_product > 0 else 0.0\\n \\n # If we never had a shortfall, depletion_age should be null\\n if depletion_age is None:\\n depletion_age = None\\n \\n return {\\n \\\"final_balance\\\": round(balance, 2),\\n \\\"real_final_balance\\\": round(real_final_balance, 2),\\n \\\"total_withdrawn\\\": round(total_withdrawn, 2),\\n \\\"shortfall_total\\\": round(shortfall_total, 2),\\n \\\"depletion_age\\\": depletion_age,\\n \\\"path\\\": [round(b, 2) for b in path]\\n }\\n\\ndef generate_chart(input_data, standard_result, guardrail_result):\\n n_years = input_data[\\\"end_age\\\"] - input_data[\\\"start_age\\\"]\\n \\n # Get max balance for scaling\\n max_balance = max(max(standard_result[\\\"path\\\"]), max(guardrail_result[\\\"path\\\"]), \\n input_data[\\\"start_balance\\\"])\\n \\n # SVG dimensions\\n width = 800\\n height = 400\\n margin = 50\\n \\n # Scaling factors\\n x_scale = (width - 2 * margin) / (n_years - 1) if n_years > 1 else 1\\n y_scale = (height - 2 * margin) / max_balance if max_balance > 0 else 1\\n \\n # Generate polyline points\\n def generate_polyline(path):\\n points = []\\n for i, balance in enumerate(path):\\n x = margin + i * x_scale\\n y = height - margin - balance * y_scale\\n points.append(f\\\"{x},{y}\\\")\\n return \\\" \\\".join(points)\\n \\n standard_points = generate_polyline(standard_result[\\\"path\\\"])\\n guardrail_points = generate_polyline(guardrail_result[\\\"path\\\"])\\n \\n # Create SVG content\\n svg_content = f'''<svg width=\\\"{width}\\\" height=\\\"{height}\\\" xmlns=\\\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\\\">\\n <polyline id=\\\"standard\\\" fill=\\\"none\\\" stroke=\\\"blue\\\" stroke-width=\\\"2\\\" points=\\\"{standard_points}\\\"/>\\n <polyline id=\\\"guardrail\\\" fill=\\\"none\\\" stroke=\\\"red\\\" stroke-width=\\\"2\\\" points=\\\"{guardrail_points}\\\"/>\\n</svg>'''\\n \\n return svg_content\\n\\ndef main():\\n if len(sys.argv) != 3:\\n print(\\\"Usage: python solve.py input.json answer.json\\\")\\n sys.exit(1)\\n \\n input_file = sys.argv[1]\\n output_file = sys.argv[2]\\n \\n # Read input\\n with open(input_file, 'r') as f:\\n input_data = json.load(f)\\n \\n # Calculate both scenarios\\n standard_result = calculate_scenario(input_data, apply_guardrail=False)\\n guardrail_result = calculate_scenario(input_data, apply_guardrail=True)\\n \\n # Create result dictionary\\n result = {\\n \\\"standard\\\": standard_result,\\n \\\"guardrail\\\": guardrail_result\\n }\\n \\n # Write answer JSON\\n with open(output_file, 'w') as f:\\n json.dump(result, f, indent=2)\\n \\n # Generate and write chart SVG\\n chart_content = generate_chart(input_data, standard_result, guardrail_result)\\n with open(\\\"chart.svg\\\", 'w') as f:\\n f.write(chart_content)\\n\\nif __name__ == \\\"__main__\\\":\\n main()\"}"
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"content": "import sys\nimport json\nimport math\n\ndef calculate_scenario(input_data, apply_guardrail=False):\n start_age = input_data[\"start_age\"]\n end_age = input_data[\"end_age\"]\n start_balance = input_data[\"start_balance\"]\n withdrawal_rate = input_data[\"withdrawal_rate\"]\n fee_rate = input_data[\"fee_rate\"]\n returns = input_data[\"returns\"]\n inflation = input_data[\"inflation\"]\n \n n_years = end_age - start_age\n \n # Initialize variables\n balance = start_balance\n planned_withdrawal = start_balance * withdrawal_rate\n path = []\n total_withdrawn = 0.0\n shortfall_total = 0.0\n depletion_age = None\n \n for year in range(n_years):\n # Calculate actual withdrawal (min of planned and balance)\n withdrawal = min(planned_withdrawal, balance)\n \n # Check if this is the first year with shortfall\n if withdrawal < planned_withdrawal and depletion_age is None:\n depletion_age = start_age + year\n \n # Update totals\n total_withdrawn += withdrawal\n shortfall_total += planned_withdrawal - withdrawal\n \n # Apply withdrawal\n balance -= withdrawal\n \n # Apply market return and fees\n balance *= (1 + returns[year]) * (1 - fee_rate)\n \n # Store end-of-year balance\n path.append(balance)\n \n # Calculate next year's planned withdrawal\n if year < n_years - 1:\n if apply_guardrail and returns[year] < 0:\n # Skip inflation adjustment for this year due to negative returns\n pass\n else:\n # Apply inflation adjustment\n planned_withdrawal *= (1 + inflation[year])\n \n # Calculate real final balance\n inflation_product = 1.0\n for inf_rate in inflation:\n inflation_product *= (1 + inf_rate)\n \n real_final_balance = balance / inflation_product if inflation_product > 0 else 0.0\n \n # If we never had a shortfall, depletion_age should be null\n if depletion_age is None:\n depletion_age = None\n \n return {\n \"final_balance\": round(balance, 2),\n \"real_final_balance\": round(real_final_balance, 2),\n \"total_withdrawn\": round(total_withdrawn, 2),\n \"shortfall_total\": round(shortfall_total, 2),\n \"depletion_age\": depletion_age,\n \"path\": [round(b, 2) for b in path]\n }\n\ndef generate_chart(input_data, standard_result, guardrail_result):\n n_years = input_data[\"end_age\"] - input_data[\"start_age\"]\n \n # Get max balance for scaling\n max_balance = max(max(standard_result[\"path\"]), max(guardrail_result[\"path\"]), \n input_data[\"start_balance\"])\n \n # SVG dimensions\n width = 800\n height = 400\n margin = 50\n \n # Scaling factors\n x_scale = (width - 2 * margin) / (n_years - 1) if n_years > 1 else 1\n y_scale = (height - 2 * margin) / max_balance if max_balance > 0 else 1\n \n # Generate polyline points\n def generate_polyline(path):\n points = []\n for i, balance in enumerate(path):\n x = margin + i * x_scale\n y = height - margin - balance * y_scale\n points.append(f\"{x},{y}\")\n return \" \".join(points)\n \n standard_points = generate_polyline(standard_result[\"path\"])\n guardrail_points = generate_polyline(guardrail_result[\"path\"])\n \n # Create SVG content\n svg_content = f'''<svg width=\"{width}\" height=\"{height}\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/2000/svg\">\n <polyline id=\"standard\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"blue\" stroke-width=\"2\" points=\"{standard_points}\"/>\n <polyline id=\"guardrail\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"red\" stroke-width=\"2\" points=\"{guardrail_points}\"/>\n</svg>'''\n \n return svg_content\n\ndef main():\n if len(sys.argv) != 3:\n print(\"Usage: python solve.py input.json answer.json\")\n sys.exit(1)\n \n input_file = sys.argv[1]\n output_file = sys.argv[2]\n \n # Read input\n with open(input_file, 'r') as f:\n input_data = json.load(f)\n \n # Calculate both scenarios\n standard_result = calculate_scenario(input_data, apply_guardrail=False)\n guardrail_result = calculate_scenario(input_data, apply_guardrail=True)\n \n # Create result dictionary\n result = {\n \"standard\": standard_result,\n \"guardrail\": guardrail_result\n }\n \n # Write answer JSON\n with open(output_file, 'w') as f:\n json.dump(result, f, indent=2)\n \n # Generate and write chart SVG\n chart_content = generate_chart(input_data, standard_result, guardrail_result)\n with open(\"chart.svg\", 'w') as f:\n f.write(chart_content)\n\nif __name__ == \"__main__\":\n main()"
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"result": "wrote 4679 chars"
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"content": "Excellent! The solution is working correctly for both the original and test inputs. Let's summarize what we've implemented:\n\n## Summary\n\nI've created a complete solution for the retirement drawdown calculation that includes:\n\n1. **Main Script (`solve.py`)**: A Python script that:\n - Reads input parameters from a JSON file\n - Calculates retirement drawdown for both standard and guardrail scenarios\n - Writes detailed results to an output JSON file\n - Generates a visualization chart as an SVG file\n\n2. **Calculation Logic**:\n - Implements the 4% rule with inflation adjustments\n - Handles the guardrail scenario where inflation raises are skipped during negative market years\n - Tracks withdrawals, balances, and shortfall conditions\n - Calculates real final balance adjusted for inflation\n - Determines depletion age when applicable\n\n3. **Output Files**:\n - `answer.json`: Contains detailed results for both scenarios with final balances, real balances, total withdrawals, shortfalls, depletion ages, and year-by-year balance paths\n - `chart.svg`: A self-contained SVG visualization showing both balance paths as polylines\n\n4. **Validation**: \n - Tested successfully with the provided input\n - Verified with additional test cases\n - Confirmed the chart meets all requirements (no scripts, external resources, etc.)\n\nThe solution handles all edge cases properly, maintains full floating-point precision during calculations, and rounds monetary values only when producing final outputs. It's designed to work with any input of the same structure without hard-coding specific values.",
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